A Review into Which currency pairs benefited from financial crisis 2007-2008

The stock market has been rising in spite of the covid pandemic. Even before that, some well-known names were predicting a huge cruse with Peter Schiff republishing his same old book every year for some time now. Anyway, many of us agree, that there is something wrong with the markets and even more reputable managers predict a crash. It is, therefore, a good idea to look where the money tends to go should that happen.

Forex is a central point of the financial markets. Bonds, stocks, and commodities each is denominated in a currency. Buying the right asset from the right asset class is great. Buying it with the right currency is even greater ☺

One of the winners is clearly an American Dollar. I will leave it in all the following charts. After a long downtrend, the crisis put a halt to that and in 130 days, 860 days worth of losing the value was recovered . Of course, such rapid growth in currency value must have made exports difficult, so I assume there must have been some major intervention and the downtrend resumed after a beautiful double top .

(the chart below dollar is SP500 as another anchor for our analysis)

Then, there are two losers in this chart. It is important to mention two things. First, the charts present futures as the other indexes don't go as far. Second, a weak currency doesn't mean the country handled the crisis poorly. But as far as currencies go, AUD and EUR did perform rather poorly. // I think this is likely to be a repeated behaviour. AUD is still a commodity currency and EUR pegs diverse economies to each other. This raises a question about stability as successful currencies require political and economical union too. 

Oil currencies such as NOK or CAD seem to also have dropped. I added Oil chart at the bottom. // I do think that this is likely to repeat with NOK , but not necessarily with CAD. Although the CAD is another commodity currency, it is perceived as safer to some degree. At least as far as I know.
(could not find reliable NOK index) 

When it comes to currencies generally perceived as safe, Yen performed nicely and has risen more than 25% measuring from the lowest low between 2008 to the nearest significant top. The pair USDJPY was sideways-ish before the years 2007-2008 but is clearly downward-slope as Yen somewhat outperforms US Dollar . The same can't be said about the Swiss Franc which has only woken up after the dollar started to reverse. You can point out several weekly candles when the investors were rushing from the dollar and buying CHF in exchange in these times. // I think a Yen will express similar behavior. I am not sure what to make of CHF which is backed by gold more than other currencies and the gold has already risen quite high.


I will leave it here without further interpretation, but I am looking forward to discussion if there is one, and I will make a few more similar posts in the future if this one becomes any popular.

How Recognise Key patterns of price action.

Key patterns of price action. Below I will describe several key patterns, but on the diagrams you can see the analysis from a technical point of view.

And also please pay attention to the rules, which I do not advise to ignore.

The Cup with a handle pattern is formed according to the following logic:

- On an upward movement, the bulls cannot push through the next resistance level , a correction begins. It is undesirable that there were impulses during a rollback, a moderate downward movement should be observed;
-By basic rules, the bottom of the cup should be formed in the area of correction levels. A deeper rollback is allowed in modified models. In case of a deep correction after entering the market, the position is transferred to breakeven as soon as possible, the probability of the trend continuation is lower, it is better to insure;

Double bottom

It all starts with the formation of a new low on a downtrend, after which a rollback against the trend occurs.

Then, the price goes down again and rests against the previous low. And finally, after pushing off from this level, an upward movement begins, which breaks through the level of the previous local maximum. It is after the breakout of this level (confirmation line) that the final formation of the 'Double Bottom' occurs and you can start buying.
The same is with a reversal in an upward market. After the first high, the price should fall by at least 10%. Otherwise, it will mean that the bears are not strong enough.

Saucer

Let's start with the shape of the figure. Contrary to its name, the correct shape of the 'Saucer' figure rather resembles a bowl.

As you can see, the figure is formed by a smooth price movement along a parabolic trajectory. The first half of the figure (the left side of the saucer) is a smooth descent from the edge of the saucer to its bottom. The second half of the figure (the right side of the saucer) is the same smooth rise from the bottom to the edge. Ideally, the second half should be a mirror image of the first. And the bottom should in no case be sharp .

The classic 'Saucer' is formed, as a rule, on large timeframes from D1. But you can also find him on H1.

Flat base

In trading, the term flat means an area on the chart, without a clearly defined direction of price movement, that is, a trend. In other words, flat is the opposite of a trend.

Misc Rules
-all BP = 10 pips
-ideal prior uptrend >30%
-for wks abv avg vol: #up>#down
-up 20% for new base
- undercut base resets base count
- 66% or 3rd stage base fails
- 80% of 4th stage base fails
- in base bottom look for
- shakeout
- tight closes
- volume dryout
- accumulation

How can you Earn TLM Tokens on Binance Exchange

 Hello all,

On this quick Video I do introduce you into token which is live on Binance. Binance Launchpad and Launchpool are platforms that help and advise project teams on how to best issue and launch their token.

Binance is excited to announce the 19th project on Binance Launchpool - Alien Worlds (TLM), a simulated economy where players compete with NFTs. Users will be able to stake their BNB and BUSD into separate pools to farm TLM tokens over 30 days, with farming starting from 2021-04-07 00:00 AM (UTC).

So, I created a Video showing how you take part on this process and make some money.

How to Setup Binance Demo Account ...

 Hi all,

Some time ago, I have setup this 4+minutes video tutorial, which explains your how you setup a demo account on Binance. 

Check it out ..

 

Top 5 tips for Crypto Noobs – getting started 📌

1. Storage of private Keys

Always, always, ALWAYS make a note of your private key. This is the key to your money, it is yours and no one can get access to it, like a combination to your own personal safe. Write it down, print it out, and store it somewhere only you know. If you forget the passwords to your wallet, this is your only backstop so LOOK AFTER It!

2. Choose the right exchange.

There are a lot of exchanges out there to choose from, each with their own benefit, each also with their own flaws. You can see recommendations of each on any number of google searches. The best exchanges are ones which are current and proven, ones which are sworn by leading crypto enthusiasts. Do your own research and choose which is the best for you.


"One of the leading and safer exchange today is Binance " --> Check Binance here. 

3. Store your crypto in a cold storage wallet.

Some people choose to keep their money on an exchange, which is fine if you are constantly trading. If not, there is no sense in keeping it on there. Would you leave your wallet on the table at a restaurant when you go to the toilet? No. So take your money back into your control and store it in a paper wallet, or ledger until you are ready to use it again. Many exchanges have been hacked, and all the crypto from peoples wallets stolen, don’t let this be you. 

Learn more about Cold Cryptocurrency Wallets..

4. Do your own research!

This one is extremely important. Whilst it is good to listen to top crypto influencers and enthusiasts to gain knowledge on what is happening in the market and what investments are out there, DO NOT TAKE THEIR RECOMMENDATIONS AS VERBATUM. 

They, like you, are speculators and have no idea what the performance of the advertised cryptocurrency will be. Take their suggestions, look into the cryptocurrency, do some research on the fundamentals, then make your decision.

5. Know when to take your profits.

Set yourself a point at which you are happy to take the profits of your spoils. Don’t, like so many others out there, expect your investment to 100x overnight. Set your own standards as to when you will sell, because crypto is a volatile game and large swings can happen almost instantaneously. 

Better to get out at 50% of profit rather than wait for 100% and instead see your investment plummet before you took out your money. One of the best ways to do this is by selling 50% when any coin doubles. This way you will have your principal amount safe.


Regards